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Dana White's Contender Series Season 10, Week 1Lightweight · prelim

Logan Paxton vs Cristian Perez fight lab

RED CORNERLogan Paxton
LightweightFIGHT LAB

2026-08-11 · UFC APEX, Las Vegas

BLUE CORNERCristian Perez

MODEL PROJECTION · FILM-STANDARD

Logan Paxton51.7%
Sportsbook
Kalshi
Most likely finish
Paxton DEC
Charted fights
5 / 7

Inputs are video-derived: no official round stats exist for either fighter. The model was trained on official UFC data, so treat this as directional rather than calibrated. Reach is unavailable and was not imputed.

TALE OF THE TAPE

Records & schedule

Records from career histories; opponent quality measured bout by bout.

10-1Professional record14-2
90%Wins by finish79%
Avg opponent win rate
Higher = tougher schedule
Wins over winning records
Amateur record
7 / 2KO / sub wins5 / 6
Sportsbook
Kalshi mid

FILM STATS · VIDEO-DERIVED

What they actually do

Charted from their regional fights. Neither fighter has any official round data — no promotion outside the UFC publishes it — so this is the only measured record of their output, and it ranks below official stats.

6.36Sig. strikes landed / min6.06
61%Striking accuracy59%
1.16Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.67
Lower is better
50%Striking defense55%
3.81Takedowns / 15 min2.98
49%Control time share44%

Sample: 5 charted fights for Logan Paxton, 7 for Cristian Perez. Rates from small samples move a lot — treat them as directional.

RED CORNER

Logan Paxton

0 of 0 career fights charted from video · 6.36 landed/min, 61% accuracy

DateOpponentPromotionFilm

BLUE CORNER

Cristian Perez

0 of 0 career fights charted from video · 6.06 landed/min, 59% accuracy

DateOpponentPromotionFilm

HOW IT TENDS TO GO

These two have finished 83.3% of their combined career wins. Across 356 Contender Series bouts only 41.0% end inside 7:30 overall — but among pairs who both arrive with finish rates above 85%, 75% did (16 bouts).

The projection above is built from these film rates, not from the finish-rate table — the table is context for how the show tends to play out.